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Market note · 28 October 2026

Yara Q3 2026 EBITDA down 16% to $675m as European gas costs jump 57%

Yara International reported a 16% year-on-year decline in Q3 2026 EBITDA to $675 million, missing market expectations, as European gas input costs surged 57%. The gas cost spike squeezed margins at the company's European nitrogen operations despite a 4% increase in delivery volumes in the region.

Return on invested capital nonetheless improved to 13.5%, suggesting that capital efficiency held up even as feedstock cost inflation weighed on profitability. Yara is a bellwether for the European nitrogen fertiliser sector, given its reliance on natural gas as the principal feedstock for ammonia and urea production.

The results underline how renewed strength in European gas prices is feeding directly through to fertiliser producer margins, a dynamic that could pressure nitrogen supply and pricing into the next planting season if gas costs remain elevated. Buyers and traders of nitrogen fertilisers in Europe should watch gas price trends closely, as further cost pass-through could tighten margins further or push producers toward output curtailments.

What it meansRising European gas costs are compressing nitrogen fertiliser producer margins despite firm demand, a signal for traders to watch for potential supply curtailments or price pass-through in coming months.

Related on gidex.com: urea supply · the fertiliser desk

Original note by GIDEX Group based on reporting by Fertilizer Daily. Written up by the GIDEX market desk — see how these notes are made. Not investment advice.

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